12 Aug · 07:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IY
🇺🇦Iolanta Yevtodii
ELO 1765
FormWLLWW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Yevtodii
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1598
FormWLWWW
70%
30%
Fair odds · Yevtodii
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~72 pts
3-0
26%
3-1
26%
3-2
18%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+167
H2H26-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+167)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-8)