13 Aug · 08:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1738
FormWLLLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Ovriakh
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1610
FormLLLLL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Ovriakh
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
3-0
24%
3-1
24%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+128
H2H11-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+128)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-3)