13 Aug · 08:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1712
FormLLWWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Plokhotniuk
AR
🇺🇦Anna Rzhevska
ELO 1556
FormLWWWW
69%
31%
Fair odds · Plokhotniuk
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~73 pts
3-0
26%
3-1
25%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+156
H2H11-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+156)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-3)