13 Aug · 13:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1738
FormWLLLW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Ovriakh
AR
🇺🇦Anna Rzhevska
ELO 1556
FormLWWWW
71%
29%
Fair odds · Ovriakh
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 55%Total ~73 pts
3-0
29%
3-1
26%
3-2
16%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+182
H2H10-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+182)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-2)