13 Aug · 06:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1712
FormLLWWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Plokhotniuk
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1610
FormLLLLL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Plokhotniuk
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~74 pts
3-0
23%
3-1
23%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+102
H2H25-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-5)