13 Aug · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IY
🇺🇦Iolanta Yevtodii
ELO 1789
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Yevtodii
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1738
FormWLLLW
56%
44%
🌟Ovriakh covers set handicap as underdog 68% (25)
Fair odds · Yevtodii
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+51
H2H7-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)