13 Aug · 09:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1605
FormWWLLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Yevtodii
IY
🇺🇦Iolanta Yevtodii
ELO 1789
FormWWWWW
28%
72%
Fair odds · Yevtodii
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 55%Total ~72 pts
0-3
29%
1-3
26%
2-3
16%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+184
H2H27-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+184)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-8)