13 Aug · 11:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1712
FormLLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Yevtodii
IY
🇺🇦Iolanta Yevtodii
ELO 1789
FormWWWWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Yevtodii
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
20%
2-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+77
H2H41-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (41-21)