13 Aug · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1605
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kurtenko
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1610
FormLLLLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H3-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.