14 Aug · 15:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1493
FormLWLWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Volgina
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1650
FormWLWWL
31%
69%
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~75 pts
0-3
26%
1-3
25%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+157
H2H108-62
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+157)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (108-62)