14 Aug · 19:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1493
FormLWLWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1593
FormLLLWL
38%
62%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
0-3
23%
1-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+100
H2H78-50
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (78-50)