14 Aug · 17:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1470
FormWLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1593
FormLLLWL
35%
65%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
0-3
24%
1-3
24%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+123
H2H50-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+123)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (50-11)