14 Aug · 19:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1470
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Gorchakova
OB
🇺🇦Olena Bondareva
ELO 1421
FormWWLWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Gorchakova
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+49
H2H21-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-6)