15 Aug · 18:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KT
🇺🇦Ksenia Tymchenko
ELO 1431
FormLWLWL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1600
FormWLWLL
30%
70%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~75 pts
0-3
26%
1-3
26%
2-3
18%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+169
H2H39-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+169)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-29)