15 Aug · 20:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1572
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1600
FormWLWLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H21-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.