15 Aug · 18:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1598
FormWWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Ivchenko
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1572
FormWLLWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H21-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.