16 Aug · 21:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KT
🇺🇦Ksenia Tymchenko
ELO 1435
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Gorchakova
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1481
FormWWLLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Gorchakova
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
0-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+46
H2H30-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-6)