16 Aug · 15:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KT
🇺🇦Ksenia Tymchenko
ELO 1435
FormWLLLL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Ivchenko
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1605
FormWWWLW
30%
70%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~74 pts
0-3
28%
1-3
26%
2-3
16%
3-2
13%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+170
H2H43-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+170)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (43-17)