16 Aug · 19:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇺🇦Viktoria Kurtenko
ELO 1472
FormWLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kurtenko
OK
🇺🇦Olha Kolbasenko
ELO 1417
FormWLWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+55
H2H15-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-5)