16 Aug · 16:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VK
🇺🇦Viktoria Kurtenko
ELO 1472
FormWLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kurtenko
PP
🇺🇦Polina Pashchenko
ELO 1465
FormLWWWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+7
H2H4-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.