16 Aug · 18:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KT
🇺🇦Ksenia Tymchenko
ELO 1435
FormWLLLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Volgina
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1621
FormLLWWL
28%
72%
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 55%Total ~74 pts
0-3
29%
1-3
27%
2-3
16%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+186
H2H45-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+186)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (45-28)