16 Aug · 14:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AP
🇺🇦Anhelina Plashchynska
ELO 1235
FormLWLLL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Kolbasenko
OK
🇺🇦Olha Kolbasenko
ELO 1417
FormWLWLL
29%
71%
🌟Plashchynska stays under total as underdog 64% (234)
Fair odds · Kolbasenko
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 55%Total ~71 pts
0-3
29%
1-3
26%
2-3
16%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+182
H2H37-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+182)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-23)