16 Aug · 19:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AP
🇺🇦Anhelina Plashchynska
ELO 1235
FormLWLLL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Pashchenko
PP
🇺🇦Polina Pashchenko
ELO 1465
FormLWWWW
24%
76%
🌟Plashchynska stays under total as underdog 64% (234)
Fair odds · Pashchenko
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~72 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
28%
2-3
17%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+230
H2H11-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+230)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-0)