16 Aug · 18:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇺🇦Polina Pashchenko
ELO 1465
FormLWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Pashchenko
OK
🇺🇦Olha Kolbasenko
ELO 1417
FormWLWLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Pashchenko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+48
H2H14-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-5)