16 Aug · 13:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OM
🇺🇦Olga Melnik
ELO 1250
FormLLLWW
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Pashchenko
PP
🇺🇦Polina Pashchenko
ELO 1465
FormLWWWW
25%
75%
Fair odds · Pashchenko
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~72 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
28%
2-3
17%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+215
H2H8-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+215)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-2)