16 Aug · 17:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Olga Melnik
ELO 1250
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Melnik
AP
🇺🇦Anhelina Plashchynska
ELO 1235
FormLWLLL
52%
48%
🌟Melnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (115)
Fair odds · Melnik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H5-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.