16 Aug · 16:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OM
🇺🇦Olga Melnik
ELO 1250
FormLLLWW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Kolbasenko
OK
🇺🇦Olha Kolbasenko
ELO 1417
FormWLWLL
30%
70%
🌟Kolbasenko stays under total as favourite 62% (206)
Fair odds · Kolbasenko
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~72 pts
0-3
26%
1-3
26%
2-3
18%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+167
H2H21-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+167)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-14)