16 Aug · 19:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KB
🇺🇦Kateryna Bondarenko
ELO 1675
FormLWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Bondarenko
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1605
FormWWWLW
59%
41%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ivchenko🌟Bondarenko goes over total as favourite 64% (91)
Fair odds · Bondarenko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+70
H2H13-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-3)