16 Aug · 12:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OP
🇺🇦Olha Ponko
ELO 1477
FormLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Ponko
OK
🇺🇦Olha Kolbasenko
ELO 1417
FormWLWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Ponko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+60
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)