16 Aug · 21:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1605
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Volgina
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1621
FormLLWWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ivchenko🌟Ivchenko covers set handicap as underdog 64% (272)
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+16
H2H118-128
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.