20 Aug · 17:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1488
FormWWLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Lapa
OB
🇺🇦Olena Bondareva
ELO 1396
FormLLLLL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Lapa
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~74 pts
3-0
23%
3-1
23%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+92
H2H40-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (40-9)