20 Aug · 16:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VK
🇺🇦Viktoria Kurtenko
ELO 1465
FormLWWWL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Kurtenko
AP
🇺🇦Anhelina Plashchynska
ELO 1261
FormLWWLL
74%
26%
🌟Plashchynska stays under total as underdog 64% (236)
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~73 pts
3-0
29%
3-1
27%
3-2
17%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+204
H2H12-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+204)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-4)