20 Aug · 20:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1573
FormLLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Shevchuk
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1507
FormWWWLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Shevchuk
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H16-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-8)