20 Aug · 19:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SY
🇺🇦Svitlana Yureneva
ELO 1542
FormWLWLW
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Yureneva
AP
🇺🇦Anhelina Plashchynska
ELO 1261
FormLWWLL
80%
20%
🌟Plashchynska stays under total as underdog 64% (236)
Fair odds · Yureneva
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 65%Total ~70 pts
3-0
35%
3-1
29%
3-2
16%
2-3
9%
1-3
7%
Elo Gap+281
H2H45-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+281)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (45-9)