20 Aug · 20:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KT
🇺🇦Ksenia Tymchenko
ELO 1404
FormLLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Lapa
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1488
FormWWLLL
40%
60%
Fair odds · Lapa
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
0-3
22%
1-3
22%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+84
H2H39-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-13)