20 Aug · 18:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OB
🇺🇦Olena Bondareva
ELO 1396
FormLLLLL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Shevchuk
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1573
FormLLLWW
29%
71%
Fair odds · Shevchuk
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 55%Total ~74 pts
0-3
28%
1-3
26%
2-3
16%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+177
H2H11-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+177)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-6)