20 Aug · 17:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1593
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kurtenko
SY
🇺🇦Svitlana Yureneva
ELO 1542
FormWLWLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+51
H2H80-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (80-10)