20 Aug · 21:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OB
🇺🇦Olena Bondareva
ELO 1396
FormLLLLL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Gorchakova
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1507
FormWWWLW
36%
64%
Fair odds · Gorchakova
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~74 pts
0-3
24%
1-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+111
H2H22-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-6)