20 Aug · 13:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SY
🇺🇦Svitlana Yureneva
ELO 1542
FormWLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Dronova
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1591
FormLLWLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Dronova
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+49
H2H10-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-3)