20 Aug · 16:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KT
🇺🇦Ksenia Tymchenko
ELO 1404
FormLLLLL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Shevchuk
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1573
FormLLLWW
30%
70%
Fair odds · Shevchuk
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~75 pts
0-3
26%
1-3
26%
2-3
18%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+169
H2H11-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+169)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-8)