20 Aug · 15:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1593
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kurtenko
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1591
FormLLWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H3-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.