20 Aug · 12:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1593
FormLLLLW
84%Win chancemodel fair 1.19Kurtenko
AP
🇺🇦Anhelina Plashchynska
ELO 1261
FormLWWLL
84%
16%
🌟Plashchynska stays under total as underdog 64% (236)
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 84% · 1.19vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 68%Total ~71 pts
3-0
37%
3-1
31%
3-2
16%
2-3
7%
1-3
5%
Elo Gap+332
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+332)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)