20 Aug · 19:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1488
FormWWLLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1631
FormWWWLW
33%
67%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~74 pts
0-3
25%
1-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-2
13%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+143
H2H79-50
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+143)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (79-50)