21 Aug · 07:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SY
🇺🇦Svitlana Yureneva
ELO 1511
FormLLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Rzhevska
AR
🇺🇦Anna Rzhevska
ELO 1565
FormWWLLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Rzhevska
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+54
H2H30-70
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)