21 Aug · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1587
FormLWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Dronova
SY
🇺🇦Svitlana Yureneva
ELO 1511
FormLLWLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Dronova
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~73 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
20%
3-2
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+76
H2H11-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-3)