21 Aug · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SY
🇺🇦Svitlana Yureneva
ELO 1511
FormLLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Yureneva
PP
🇺🇦Polina Pashchenko
ELO 1483
FormLWLWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Yureneva
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
3-1
20%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H10-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.