22 Aug · 21:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1615
FormLLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Volgina
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1578
FormLWWWW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Shevchuk
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H20-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-19)