22 Aug · 20:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AH
🇺🇦Anastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko
ELO 1300
FormWLWLL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Gorchakova
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1520
FormWLLWW
25%
75%
Fair odds · Gorchakova
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~73 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
28%
2-3
17%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+220
H2H29-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+220)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-13)