22 Aug · 18:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1621
FormWLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Ivchenko
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1578
FormLWWWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+43
H2H22-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-15)