23 Aug · 20:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1636
FormWWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Ivchenko
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1629
FormWWWWL
51%
49%
🌟Volgina covers set handicap as underdog 63% (512)
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+7
H2H127-121
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.